Could Bitcoin be slated to enter into six-figure territory by Q4 2025? Taking into account how many other feats this cryptocurrency has already achieved, such a revelation might not be as impossible as it initially appears.
Of course, simply throwing out a prediction and providing substantive facts are two entirely different things. But as always we’re bringing some stats ‘n’ facts as a complementary dish to our speculation. With a nice helping of hype of course too.
Ron and Tom, along with the rest of the pros at Crypto Lists aim to cut through the mists of uncertainty in order to see where we may be headed.
The Role of Supply and Demand
Let’s begin by reinforcing one of the most crucial factors within any financial marketplace: the principle of supply and demand. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are no different in terms of how values are impacted by asset availability. Having said this, Bitcoin (see blockchain review) is somewhat unique in the fact that it will undergo a process known as “halving“.
Occurring approximately once every four years, the main intention of halving is to reduce the amount of Bitcoins available to miners by 50 percent. Instances of halving occurred in 2012, 2016 and 2020. This process takes place after roughly 210,000 blocks have been mined.
Why is halving important when referring to BTC prices? This is mainly the result of raising demand due to a decreased supply. In theory, any instance of halving should immediately precede a significantly bullish upward trend.
Supply: 18,925,000 / 21,000,000
Release date: January 3, 2009
Description: Buy BTC and be part of the revolution of cryptocurrency.
Risk warning: Trading, buying or selling crypto currencies is extremely risky and not for everyone. Do not risk money that you could not afford to loose.
From Theory to Reality?
Past performance is an excellent way to predict future price movements and this statement is just as true in terms of Bitcoin. The next halving event is expected to take place in May 2024. A bit of history can help us to better understand where we may be headed in the not-so-distant future.
Following the previous two halving events, BTC prices fell by approximately 25 percent. However, let’s not push the panic button just yet. Thanks to diminished supply and increased demand, Bitcoin soon entered into a medium-term bullish cycle that saw returns of more than 650 percent during the subsequent 18 months. We can now extrapolate these past movements into the upcoming halving.
Even if we choose to adopt a conservative approach, it’s not unrealistic to assume that BTC prices could rise by up to 500 percent between the May 2024 halving and Q4 2025. Should prices fall by 25 percent (as happened during the previous cycle) this would still equate to values north of $200,000 dollars sometime during the latter half of 2025. Not too bad at all.
Adopting a Long-Term Mindset
The current price of BTC is hovering around $27,500 dollars. However, we should also point out that Bitcoin may currently be testing bullish territory considering that its value was $16,825 on 6 January. This already represents an ROI of 63.45 percent. Having said this, there’s little doubt that the next halving will once again result in an initial re-correction.
This is why it could be much better to adopt a long position in regard to future BTC prices. While there’s nothing wrong with taking up a handful of short positions, the smart money seems to be pointing over the distant horizon.
We should still remember that other variables might enter into the equation. Factors such as interest rate hikes, the looming United States debt ceiling stalemate and the potential for future cryptocurrency regulations could also have an impact upon the price of BTC and crypto assets as a whole.
Time is on Our Side
Considering the observations explained above, the notion of “too good to be true” will inevitably come to mind. After all, returns approaching 700 percent appear to be more akin to a poorly written IPO pitch from the film Boiler Room than a quantifiable reality.
Still, the historical performance of BTC cannot be denied. Let’s recall that the price of BTC in May 2010 was $0.0041 while a single coin is now worth in excess of $27,600 dollars. Although we all wish that we possessed a crystal ball at the time, we’ve also learned a great deal about crypto mechanics ever since.
This is why analyzing long-term trends is arguably the best way to capitalize upon future momentum. Even if an increase of 700 percent does not materialize, few will argue that post-halving returns of between 100 and 200 percent by Q4 2025 would represent anything less than market-defining news.
Either way, you can remain confident that Crypto Lists will keep abreast of the latest movements so that the best decisions can be made at the right time.
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